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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold Markets

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

EconomiaGeopolíticaOne-OffSpaceCorporate ActionsChessEsportesTecnologiaIA6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year. 72.8%
Líder entre 95 opções
Previsores

246

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 43 minutos

19/12/25, 17:4831/12/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.73%

Regras

Please add questions for what will happen in 2026 related to AI! I've added some clarifications below.

Manifold Markets
  • If there is ambiguity I will resolve to my best judgement.
  • Clarifications
  • "SSI will release a product": It should be generally available in 2026; i.e. no waitlist.
  • Should be an AI product; I’m not counting hats, clothing, etc.
  • "X will outperform the S&P": As measured at the end of the year.

Mercados Relacionados

Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,8 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

165,2 €
Under $3T: 1.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

7,5 €
SpaceX: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

12,9 mil €
December 31: 37%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

6,6 mil €
70-80B: 95%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will SpaceX IPO before Bitcoin hits $100K again?

1,4 mil €
Sim: 99%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,607.97+1.74%SolanaSOL$65.07+0.84%EthereumETH$1,652.06+1.37%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.02%BNBBNB$595.28+1.26%XRPXRP$1.12-0.29%

Notícias Relacionadas

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraph

Regras

Please add questions for what will happen in 2026 related to AI! I've added some clarifications below.

Manifold Markets
  • If there is ambiguity I will resolve to my best judgement.
  • Clarifications
  • "SSI will release a product": It should be generally available in 2026; i.e. no waitlist.
  • Should be an AI product; I’m not counting hats, clothing, etc.
  • "X will outperform the S&P": As measured at the end of the year.