What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

Economia GeopolíticaOne-OffSpace Corporate Actions Chess Esportes Tecnologia IA5m

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year. 95.4%

Líder entre 95 opções

Previsores

263

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 27 minutos

19/12/25, 17:4831/12/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.95%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Please add questions for what will happen in 2026 related to AI! I've added some clarifications below.

If there is ambiguity I will resolve to my best judgement.
Clarifications
"SSI will release a product": It should be generally available in 2026; i.e. no waitlist.
Should be an AI product; I’m not counting hats, clothing, etc.
"X will outperform the S&P": As measured at the end of the year.

Tendência de volume

$46

8 de jul.13d de dados26 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

What will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029

42,2 €

It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation: 60.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

4,1 mil €

SpaceX: 86%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

244,9 €

No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

44,4 €

Under $3T: 1.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

0 €

SpaceX: 97%

POLYMARKET

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

5,6 mil €

Before May 1, 2027: 43%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,563.66+0.84%

EthereumETH$1,886.84+1.62%

SolanaSOL$75.24+1.78%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+5.51%

BNBBNB$571.21+1.02%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.98%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News

Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News

Regras

Please add questions for what will happen in 2026 related to AI! I've added some clarifications below.

If there is ambiguity I will resolve to my best judgement.
Clarifications
"SSI will release a product": It should be generally available in 2026; i.e. no waitlist.
Should be an AI product; I’m not counting hats, clothing, etc.
"X will outperform the S&P": As measured at the end of the year.

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

Economia GeopolíticaOne-OffSpace Corporate Actions Chess Esportes Tecnologia IA5m

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year. 95.4%

Líder entre 95 opções

Previsores

263

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 27 minutos

19/12/25, 17:4831/12/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.95%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Please add questions for what will happen in 2026 related to AI! I've added some clarifications below.

If there is ambiguity I will resolve to my best judgement.
Clarifications
"SSI will release a product": It should be generally available in 2026; i.e. no waitlist.
Should be an AI product; I’m not counting hats, clothing, etc.
"X will outperform the S&P": As measured at the end of the year.

Tendência de volume

$46

8 de jul.13d de dados26 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

What will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029

42,2 €

It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation: 60.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

4,1 mil €

SpaceX: 86%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

244,9 €

No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

44,4 €

Under $3T: 1.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

0 €

SpaceX: 97%

POLYMARKET

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

5,6 mil €

Before May 1, 2027: 43%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,563.66+0.84%

EthereumETH$1,886.84+1.62%

SolanaSOL$75.24+1.78%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+5.51%

BNBBNB$571.21+1.02%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.98%

Notícias Relacionadas

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News

Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News

Regras

Please add questions for what will happen in 2026 related to AI! I've added some clarifications below.

If there is ambiguity I will resolve to my best judgement.
Clarifications
"SSI will release a product": It should be generally available in 2026; i.e. no waitlist.
Should be an AI product; I’m not counting hats, clothing, etc.
"X will outperform the S&P": As measured at the end of the year.