[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 86.3%
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39
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado6/01/26, 22:12 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41138)Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description:
- This question will resolve as Yes if a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict has gone into effect during 2026.
- The ceasefire must either
- last a minimum of 30 consecutive days entirely during 2026
- be intended to last a minimum of 30 days (or indefinitely), as specified by the agreement text or joint statement, even if it is immediately violated.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de [ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando [ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027? é resolvido?
- [ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como [ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41138)Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.