Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92%
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Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado16/08/25, 09:06 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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reference UN or Wikipedia for resolution
- Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if by 23:59:59 UTC on December 31, 2026 at least one of the following is true:
- The UN Treaty Collection (UNTS) lists a bilateral instrument between Ukraine and the Russian Federation that explicitly ends the armed conflict (e.g., “peace treaty,” “peace agreement,” or an armistice/cessation of hostilities that states it ends the war) and shows it entered into force on or before the deadline.
- The effective “entry into force” date controls, even if UNTS posts it later.
- Primary source: UN Treaty Collection/UNTS search.