KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027 83%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
43 €
Liquidez
7,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
7/07/26, 23:30 UTC1/10/26, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
If the President of the United States has tried to fire Lisa Cook as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:ABCLisa Cookthe White HouseCBSthe Associated PressThe Washington PostAxiosCNNThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsThe New York TimesNBCSemaforPoliticoBloomberg NewsReuters
- A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
- The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...? · September 30 17%
