KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 0.0% 95%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,1 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
28/07/26, 18:30 UTC29/07/27, 12:29 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
KalshiWill US real GDP pc double by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1.5% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExRegras
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2027, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,6 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 554,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,8 mil
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Volume total
- € 314,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 11 mil
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 17,7 mil
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 76 mil
- Volume 24h
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US real GDP growth in Q2 2027??
- A Kalshi cota Above 0.0% em 95% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? é resolvido?
- US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 29 de julho de 2027.
- Como US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.