KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 98%
Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
377,6 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
0.3% / 5.5%
Spread
5.2 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
3/12/25, 23:30 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
US abolishes debt ceiling before 2029?
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Manifold MarketsFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRegras
If a bill becomes law that abolishes the debt ceiling (rather than just temporarily suspending or increasing it) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Library of Congress
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 323,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 25,3 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 523 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 22 mil
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Volume total
- € 611,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 10,5 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 7,7 mil
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the debt ceiling be abolished??
- A Kalshi cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the debt ceiling be abolished? é resolvido?
- Will the debt ceiling be abolished? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the debt ceiling be abolished? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a bill becomes law that abolishes the debt ceiling (rather than just temporarily suspending or increasing it) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.