FutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 28 de out. de 2026, 18:39 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31 22%
December 31 22%Qualidade do mercado
26 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baixa liquidezTraders
3
Comentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Hamas actually disarm in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This set of markets predicts whether Hamas will officially announce that it will disarm in the Gaza Strip.
- Each market below covers one possible deadline; any number of these markets may resolve "Yes" (an announcement made before an earlier deadline also counts toward all later deadlines).
- A market resolves "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip on or before the market's deadline.
- For the purposes of this event, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
- Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons, or agreeing to disarm in stages or in a certain region) qualify as long as they are part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
- Only official announcements qualify — for example, by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? · December 31, 7%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? · End of 2026 10%