Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualEnd of 2026 10%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado15/09/26, 04:23 UTC31/01/27, 04:21 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket: Will Hamas agree to disarm by November 30?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
- For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
- Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Futuur — Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? · December 31 22%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? · December 31, 9%