Manifold Markets
Speelgeld-voorspellingsmarkt waar iedereen markten kan aanmaken en verhandelen met mana, een virtuele valuta die nooit kan worden uitbetaald. Er is geen identiteitscontrole nodig om mee te doen.
Bezoek Manifold MarketsBeschikbaarheid
Voorspellings- of speelgeldbron; handelsgeschiktheid is niet van toepassing.
KYC / Identiteit
Geen identiteitsverificatie vereist
Methodologie en toegang
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Verrekent in
Mana (play money)
Markttype
Limit orders + AMM (CPMM)
Live statistieken
Open markten34.507
Totale markten50.003
Deelnemers966.120
Gem. voorspellers/vraag19.8
Gem. uitkomsten/markt4.0
Afwikkelingspercentage31%
Laatst bijgewerkt21 okt 2026, 21:09
Topcategorieën
1. One-Off31380 Open markten
2. Politiek6275 Open markten
3. US Politics5385 Open markten
4. AI5313 Open markten
5. Tech5026 Open markten
Afwikkelingsgeschiedenis
12,196 afgewikkelde markten · sinds 2022 · 100% met tijdstempel van de aanbieder
Verkennen op CoinRithm
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Open markten
MANIFOLD MARKETSBy the end of 2050, what will my best guess be for the number of people that have died from climate change since 2000?
- 1M-10M-2.6pt22.7%
- <10K (includes negative numbers)19.7%
- 10M-100M-14.0pt18.9%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 113,9
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Voyager 2 stop transmitting any scientific data?
- 2028-2.3pt11.1%
- 2027-3.1pt10.2%
- 2026-0.7pt10%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 48,1
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSAustralia vs South Africa. 2nd Test Megamarket
- Australia win Toss100%
- Boland 5fa100%
- Jansen 5fa100%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,2K
- 24u volume
- € 1,4K
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will I reach 100 pounds?
- Before Aug 2027+48.8pt98.8%
- Before May 2027+48.0pt98%
- Before Feb 2027+11.7pt90.8%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 771,4
- 24u volume
- € 364,5
MANIFOLD MARKETSAustralia vs South Africa Test Series Predictions
- Cummins is Captain+47.9pt88.9%
- Cummins plays all the games+19.3pt60.3%
- South Africa win Series-24.6pt54.6%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 743,6
- 24u volume
- € 477,9
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Reflection AI release its first open-weight model?
- Oct 13 to Oct 19+46.2pt66.2%
- By Oct 12, 2026-11.5pt8.5%
- Oct 20 to Oct 31-11.5pt8.5%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 46,3
- 24u volume
- € 44,5
MANIFOLD MARKETSAs of 1/1/2027, which fund manager will have the largest fund dedicated to the PE secondary market?
- Ardian32.8%
- Apollo-1.7pt6.5%
- Lexington-1.1pt2.5%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 30,3
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will win the American League Cy Young Award in the 2026 MLB season?
- Cam Schlittler+41.8pt96.7%
- Tarik Skubal-0.2pt0.5%
- Garrett Crochet-0.2pt0.5%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6K
- 24u volume
- € 133,6
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlberta Referendum vs Charles III US Visit - 2026
- Alberta holds referendum - Charles visits US+40.4pt73.9%
- Alberta doesn't hold referendum - Charles visits US-40.9pt24.5%
- Alberta holds referendum - Charles doesn't visit US+0.3pt0.8%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 695,4
- 24u volume
- € 203,2
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will do best on today's wordle (manifold discord)?
- Quroe+38.3pt48.3%
- Jack-8.1pt1.9%
- Genzy-9.2pt0.8%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 696,2
- 24u volume
- € 781,2
MANIFOLD MARKETSGas Price on October 26
- 4.1999 or more?+38.0pt86%
- 4.2199 or more?+47.0pt64%
- 4.2399 or more?+7.0pt19%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4,1K
- 24u volume
- € 660,8
MANIFOLD MARKETS2026 WTA Tour Women's Tennis Matches 🎾
- 🇺🇸 A. Li vs 🇨🇴 M. Camila Osorio Serrano [Australian Open – Round 1]100%
- 🇭🇺 A. Bondár vs 🇺🇸 E. Mandlik [Australian Open – Round 1]100%
- 🇵🇱 M. Linette vs 🇺🇸 E. Navarro (15) [Australian Open – Round 1]100%
+953 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 378,4K
- 24u volume
- € 365,9
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