Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 14:18 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling1B - 1.5B 24.6%+7.5ptKoploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+7.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd31 jul 25, 18:13 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
Can be over some multi-year span.
- Only counts offers after market creation, that are reported by credible enough sources that it doesn't seem made up to the typical market participant.