Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling≥90% 75.5%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
19
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+14.2 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd16 jan 26, 20:50 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
This market matches Software Optimization: GSOBench from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the highest Hack-Adjusted Opt@1 score on the GSO leaderboard as of December 31, 2026.
- A task counts as solved if a single attempt achieves ≥95% of the human speedup AND passes all correctness tests.
- No retries or cherry-picking the best of multiple runs is allowed.