Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingWes Streeting is not Prime Minister at the end of 2026 99%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd15 mei 26, 13:0731 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
Regels
Combined conditional market on Streeting becoming PM and who he picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if he does.
- Please only add Labour MPs as options.
- (Use the "Other" option if you think a non-Labour MP (other than Burnham) might get the job.) I don't think there are any circumstances under which this market can resolve NA.
- If you have an edge case that I haven't covered in the small print, please let me know.
- Resolves to "Current Role Holder" on this page:
- https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/chancellor-of-the-exchequer
Open markten
AI
POLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- October 31+2.4pt99%
- September 30+4.0pt96%
- September 15+1.5pt89%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 934,2K
- 24u volume
- € 195K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.2pt68%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt12.6%
- Grok+0.4pt9.7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 8,3 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,9 mln.
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+20.5pt76.2%
- Moonshot-13.9pt13.9%
- Z.ai-8.0pt5.9%
+8 extra uitkomsten
GEMINIBTC price on September 1
- $77,000 or above88%
- $77,250 or above75.5%
- $77,500 or above52%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 31,6K
- 24u volume
- € 31,6K
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- October 31+3.9pt99%
- September 30+11.7pt96%
- September 15+8.9pt86%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Wes Streeting is not Prime Minister at the end of 2026 op 99% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Combined conditional market on Streeting becoming PM and who he picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if he does.