Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Vergelijk gematchte voorspellingsvragen tussen handelsmarkten en forecast-bronnen. Zie waar kansen overeenkomen, uiteenlopen en hoe de methodologie verschilt.
#1 searched person on Google in 2026
Recorded snapshots may come from different times. Matching outcome labels do not verify identical contract rules or a trading opportunity.
Vastgelegd verschil: Bad Bunny 4 punten
| Uitkomst |  Kalshi#1 searched person on Google in 2026 Reported open Gegevens per Listed end |  Polymarket+1#1 Searched Person on Google 2026? Reported open Gegevens per Listed end |  Manifold Markets#1 searched person on Google in 2026 Reported open Gegevens per Listed end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | — | — | 41% |
| Lindsay Clancy | — | 24% | — |
| Erling Haaland | 16% | 17% | 18% |
| Bad Bunny | 14% | 10% | 13% |
| Donald Trump | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Alysa Liu | — | 5% | — |
| Platformkwaliteit | 74€ 1,4K | 81€ 536,9 |
Also on Polymarket: #2 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?
Recorded snapshots may come from different times. Matching outcome labels do not verify identical contract rules or a trading opportunity.
CoinRithm-referentieDemocratic Party68%0 pt spreiding tussen venuesVastgelegd verschil: Republican Party 4 puntenPair history: 3 recorded days ≥5pt
| Uitkomst | CoinRithm-referentie | Kalshi Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? Reported open Gegevens per Listed end | Polymarket Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms? Reported open Gegevens per Listed end | Manifold Markets Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? Reported open Gegevens per Listed end |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 68% | 68% | 68% | 71% |
| Republican Party | — | 27% | 23% | 21% |
| Tie | — | 11% | 12% | 9% |
| Platformkwaliteit | 2 platforms | 72€ 1K | 62€ 44,5 |
Tottenham vs Coventry
Recorded snapshots may come from different times. Matching outcome labels do not verify identical contract rules or a trading opportunity.
CoinRithm-referentieTottenham65%1 pt spreiding tussen venuesVastgelegd verschil: Coventry 2 punten
| Uitkomst | CoinRithm-referentie | Kalshi Tottenham vs Coventry Reported open Gegevens per Listed end | Polymarket Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC Reported open Gegevens per Listed end |  GeminiCoventry vs Tottenham Reported open Gegevens per Listed end |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 65% | 66% | 66% | — |
| Tottenham | — | 66% | — | 66% |
| Tie | — | 21% | 21% | — |
| Tie | — | 21% | — | 20% |
| Coventry | — | 16% | 14% | 15% |
| Platformkwaliteit | 2 platforms | 74€ 5,2K | 77€ 276,5 | 49€ 0 |
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Recorded snapshots may come from different times. Matching outcome labels do not verify identical contract rules or a trading opportunity.
Vastgelegd verschil: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 1 punten
| Uitkomst | Polymarket Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Reported open Gegevens per Listed end | Manifold Markets+4 Who will win the Ballon d'Or 2026? 🏆⚽ Reported open Gegevens per Listed end | Kalshi Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? Reported open Gegevens per Listed end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 64% | 64% | 63% |
| Lamine Yamal | 28% | 28% | 30% |
| Kylian Mbappé | 4% | 4% | — |
| Lionel Messi | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Kylian Mbappé | 4% | — | 4% |
| Bruno Fernandes | 0% | — | 1% |
| Platformkwaliteit | 89€ 557,4K | 74€ 183,4K |
NC-11 House winner?
Recorded snapshots may come from different times. Matching outcome labels do not verify identical contract rules or a trading opportunity.
CoinRithm-referentieJamie Ager (D)78%1 pt spreiding tussen venuesVastgelegd verschil: Jamie Ager 1 punten
| Uitkomst | CoinRithm-referentie | Kalshi NC-11 House winner? Reported open Gegevens per Listed end | Polymarket NC-11 House Election Winner Reported open Gegevens per Listed end | Manifold Markets NC-11 House winner? Reported open Gegevens per Listed end |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Ager | — | 78% | 77% | 76% |
| Jennifer Balkcom | — | 24% | 25% | 25% |
| Platformkwaliteit | 2 platforms | 78€ 995,9 | 69€ 19,5 |
Everton vs Chelsea
Recorded snapshots may come from different times. Matching outcome labels do not verify identical contract rules or a trading opportunity.
CoinRithm-referentieChelsea46%1 pt spreiding tussen venuesVastgelegd verschil: Chelsea 1 punten
| Uitkomst | CoinRithm-referentie | Kalshi Everton vs Chelsea Reported open Gegevens per Listed end | Polymarket Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC Reported open Gegevens per Listed end | Gemini Chelsea vs Everton Reported open Gegevens per Listed end |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 46% | 46% | 45% | — |
| Chelsea | — | 46% | — | 45% |
| Everton | — | 30% | 30% | — |
| Everton | — | 30% | — | 30% |
| Tie | — | 27% | 27% | — |
| Tie | — | 27% | — | 26% |
| Platformkwaliteit | 3 platforms | 81€ 25,4K | 82€ 2,7K | 49€ 0 |
St. Louis vs Minnesota
Recorded snapshots may come from different times. Matching outcome labels do not verify identical contract rules or a trading opportunity.
CoinRithm-referentieMinnesota58%1 pt spreiding tussen venuesVastgelegd verschil: Minnesota 1 punten
Final: Spain vs Argentina
Recorded snapshots may come from different times. Matching outcome labels do not verify identical contract rules or a trading opportunity.
Includes closed markets — historical prices
| Uitkomst | Kalshi Final: Spain vs Argentina Closed market Gegevens per Listed end | Polymarket World Cup Winner Closed market Gegevens per Listed end | Manifold Markets+3 2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner Closed market Gegevens per Listed end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 99% | 100% | 100% |
| Argentina | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Congo DR | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Iraq | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Czechia | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1% | — | 0% |
| Platformkwaliteit | 49€ 242,5 mln. | 49€ 23 mln. |
Cincinnati vs Milwaukee
Recorded snapshots may come from different times. Matching outcome labels do not verify identical contract rules or a trading opportunity.
Includes closed markets — historical prices
| Uitkomst | Gemini Cincinnati vs Milwaukee Closed market Gegevens per Listed end | Kalshi+1 Cincinnati vs Milwaukee Closed market Gegevens per Listed end | Polymarket Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Closed market Gegevens per Listed end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers — Yes | — | — | 100% |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | — | — | 100% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs | — | — | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | — | — | 100% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings — Over 2.5 total runs | — | — | 100% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings — Over 3.5 total runs | — | — | 100% |
| Platformkwaliteit | 49€ 9,3K | 49€ 1,9 mln. | 49€ 168K |
Also on Kalshi: Cincinnati vs Milwaukee
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
Recorded snapshots may come from different times. Matching outcome labels do not verify identical contract rules or a trading opportunity.
| Uitkomst | Kalshi How many launches will SpaceX have in October? Reported open Gegevens per Listed end | Manifold Markets How many launches will SpaceX have in October? Reported open Gegevens per Listed end |
|---|---|---|
| Above 6 | 99% | — |
| Above 8 | 97% | 98% |
| Above 7 | 98% | — |
| Above 9 | 93% | 94% |
| Above 10 | 66% | 70% |
| Above 11 | 17% | 13% |
| Platformkwaliteit | 60€ 6,5K |
Weergeven 1 - 10 van 1783
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Veelgestelde vragen
Hoe verschillen de kansen op voorspellingsmarkten per platform?
Dezelfde gebeurtenis kan op Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless en andere platformen tegen verschillende kansverdelingen worden verhandeld, omdat elke markt zijn eigen handelaren, liquiditeit en kosten heeft. CoinRithm koppelt overeenkomende markten zodat u de kansen naast elkaar kunt vergelijken en kunt zien waar platformen van elkaar afwijken.
Welk voorspellingsmarktplatform biedt de beste kansen?
Er is geen enkel beste platform. Kansen verschillen per gebeurtenis en veranderen in de loop van de tijd. CoinRithm toont de live kansverdeling voor dezelfde uitkomst op elk platform, zodat u de gunstigste prijs voor een bepaalde markt kunt vinden.
Wat is divergentie in voorspellingsmarkten?
Divergentie is het verschil tussen de kansverdelingen die verschillende platformen aan dezelfde uitkomst toekennen. Een groot verschil kan wijzen op verschillende informatie, liquiditeit of een verkeerde prijsstelling. CoinRithm rangschikt markten op divergentie om zichtbaar te maken waar de bronnen het meest van elkaar afwijken.
Hoe vergelijkt CoinRithm Polymarket en Kalshi?
CoinRithm koppelt equivalente Polymarket- en Kalshi-markten en toont hun live kansen, volume en het kansenverschil ertussen, samen met kosten, afwikkeling en beschikbaarheid, zodat u zowel de prijs als het platform kunt vergelijken.
Is het vergelijken van voorspellingsmarkten op CoinRithm gratis?
Ja. De platformoverschrijdende vergelijking, live kansen en divergentiedata op CoinRithm zijn gratis te raadplegen en te onderzoeken. CoinRithm is een platform voor onderzoek en papierhandel, geen makelaar.