Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 73.4%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd2 feb 26, 15:3031 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
Regels
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
- It must be available to the public beyond a closed beta or private access.
- More resolution criteria detail here.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 255,6K
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 143,6K
- 24u volume
- € 130,5K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7,8 mln.
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 73% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
- Waar wordt Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.