PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Zohran Mamdani 30%-0.5ptKoploper van 22 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
73 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 575,5
Liquiditeit
€ 438,5K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
6
7d wijziging
-4.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
26 mei 26, 20:28 UTC31 dec 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsWill Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Decade
KalshiWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiWhich brands will advertise during the Big Game?
KalshiRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
- Additionally, the following rules apply:
- If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
- If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 37%
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? · Zohran Mamdani 27%
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Time's Person of the Year for 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 29%
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 241,3K
- 24u volume
- € 128K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 349,4K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor TIME Person of the Year 2026?
- Polymarket prijst Zohran Mamdani op 30% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt TIME Person of the Year 2026 afgewikkeld?
- TIME Person of the Year 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt TIME Person of the Year 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Waar wordt TIME Person of the Year 2026 nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Futuur, Manifold Markets, Kalshi.