Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 65.6%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd11 dec 25, 18:56 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketWho will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
FutuurRegels
This market resolves YES if the winner of Time's Person of the Year in 2026 is given to one human person.
- This market would resolve YES for:
- A single individual person (e.g. "Donald Trump")
- An individual plus a concept or non-human entity (e.g. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine")
- It would resolve NO for:
- More than one person, or a nonspecific group (e.g. "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris" or "The Architects of AI")
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695,7K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 294,7K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 291,3K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 66% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? afgewikkeld?
- Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES if the winner of Time's Person of the Year in 2026 is given to one human person.