Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingAI2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingTaylor Swift 100%Koploper van 75 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
131
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 22 uur geleden
Verouderd10 okt 23, 04:59 UTC1 jan 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who will become President through 2033? [Unlinked Free Response - Correct Options Resolve Early]
Manifold MarketsWho will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Manifold MarketsWhat's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketTime's Person of the Decade
KalshiRegels
New market type! All options are unlinked from other options, and will resolve either 0% or 100%.
- Options can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open until the end of 2028.
- Any submitted name that is made Time's Person of The Year in any year through 2028 will resolve Yes.
- Any abstract concept/group that I judge to be synonymous with an abstract concept/group that is named Person of the Year will also resolve Yes.
- Feel free to submit answers that are duplicates or close synonyms to existing answers, I'll resolve all correct options to the full 100%.
- Also, note that TIME has traditionally named the US president elect as the POTY in election years.
Open markten
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Totaal volume
- € 957,3K
- 24u volume
- € 760,7K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,7 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]?
- Manifold Markets prijst Taylor Swift op 100% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response] afgewikkeld?
- Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response] wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response] afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: New market type! All options are unlinked from other options, and will resolve either 0% or 100%.