Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingZohran Mamdani 26%-0.3ptKoploper van 50 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
280
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-1.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd30 nov 25, 19:39 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
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PolymarketRegels
This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year.
- It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.
- If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.
- In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 25%
- Ook beschikbaar op Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 24%
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Time's Person of the Year for 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 29%