Huidige impliciete kans
No release by November 1 35%+5.0ptKoploper van 11 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
60 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 525
Liquiditeit
€ 10K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+2.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
17 aug 26, 23:32 UTC1 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
- Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.