Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 10 jun 2026, 20:45 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingKamala Harris 7.1%Koploper van 17 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
21
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 30 dagen geleden
Verouderd23 dec 24, 23:291 jul 28, 4:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Kamala Harris7%
Platforms vergelijken· Gavin Newsom
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste algemeen87% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Gemiddeld | 19% | — | € 993K | € 62 mln. | 11 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Kalshi88% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Gemiddeld | 19% | — | € 342,6K | € 87,7 mln. | 6 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Smarkets64% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 21% | — | € 0,9 | € 0 | 3 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Limitless88% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Laag | 23% | — | € 0 | € 0 | 3 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Myriad78% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 48% | — | € 0 | € 0 | 3 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold MarketsDeze pagina | — | 20% | — | — | — | 30 dagen geleden | |
| Manifold Markets80% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | — | 22% | — | — | — | eergisteren | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0.1%2j
-0.1%0%
-0.1%1%
+0.1%4%
+43 extra uitkomsten
73 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 128,9 mln.
24u volume€ 342,6K
KALSHIOok beschikbaar op Limitless
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2j
23%
13.9%
5.5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
28 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 10,7K
24u volume€ 0
LIMITLESSOok beschikbaar op Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2j
-0.4%19%
-0.9%14%
-2.1%10%
+125 extra uitkomsten
73 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 1,1 mld.
24u volume€ 993K
POLYMARKETOok beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2j
-0.1%21.7%
+0.6%11.7%
-0.1%6.5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling13 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Myriad
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
4.7%73j
+0.1%48.3%
-0.1%4.5%
-0.1%22.1%
+29 extra uitkomsten
28 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 0
24u volume€ 0
MYRIADOok beschikbaar op Smarkets
Democratic Presidential Nominee
13.5%
0.1%
2.6%
+19 extra uitkomsten
32 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 9,2K
24u volume€ 0,9
SMARKETSRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on who becomes the Democratic Party's nominee for the 2028 presidential election, as determined by:
- Securing enough delegates to win the nomination at the Democratic National Convention, OR
- Being declared the presumptive nominee after all other candidates have dropped out or suspended their campaigns
- The market will resolve N/A if:
- The Democratic Party dissolves or ceases to exist before 2028
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
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€ 410,3KRobert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
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2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
€ 224,4KDonald J. Trump Jr.: 1%KALSHI
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2028 Republican presidential nominee
€ 69,8KMarco Rubio: 29%KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
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Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on who becomes the Democratic Party's nominee for the 2028 presidential election, as determined by:
- Securing enough delegates to win the nomination at the Democratic National Convention, OR
- Being declared the presumptive nominee after all other candidates have dropped out or suspended their campaigns
- The market will resolve N/A if:
- The Democratic Party dissolves or ceases to exist before 2028