MyriadBeperkt geverifieerde gegevensWaarschuwing datakwaliteitNiet zinvol geprijsd
Gegevens van 7 aug 2026, 15:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Gavin Newsom 44.3%Koploper van 32 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
30 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendTraders
5,243
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
24 feb 26, 14:411 jan 00, 0:01
Trends
Regels
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
CoinRithm-referentie Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · 5 platforms · 3 pt spreiding tussen venues
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election · Gavin Newsom 24%
- Ook beschikbaar op Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Ook beschikbaar op Gemini — 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22%
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19%
- Ook beschikbaar op Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · AOCA 20%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 21%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20%
- Ook beschikbaar op ForecastEx — Will J.B. Pritzker win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028? · No 96%
Open markten
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 165,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2 mln.
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 14 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 947,7K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Totaal volume
- € 21,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 468,3K
- Next French Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Myriad prijst Gavin Newsom op 44% per 25 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 afgewikkeld?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2100 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 afgewikkeld?
- Myriad wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: ### **Market Dates:**
- Waar wordt Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Gemini, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx.