Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Myriad prijst Gavin Newsom op 40.7% per 10 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 afgewikkeld?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2100 afgewikkeld.

Myriad wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: ### **Market Dates:**

Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx, PredictIt.

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Gegevens van 10 okt 2026, 07:01 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4

Huidige impliciete kans

Gavin Newsom 40.7%+2.5pt

Koploper van 32 uitkomsten

Marktkwaliteit

22 / 100

Lage kwaliteit

24u volume

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Liquiditeit

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Liquiditeit onbekend

Handelaren

5,547

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

24 feb 26, 14:41 UTC1 jan 00, 00:01 UTC

Trends

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Regels

### **Market Dates:**

- **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
### **Resolution Criteria:**
- This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
### **Resolution Details:**
- Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.