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Gegevens van 10 jul 2026, 06:13 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2
Huidige impliciete kans
Gavin Newsom 48.3%+0.1%Koploper van 32 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
28 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 0
Liquiditeit
€ 0
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
-
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
24 feb 26, 14:411 jan 00, 0:01
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Gavin Newsom48%
Platforms vergelijken· Gavin Newsom
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste algemeen78% overeenkomst · auto | Gemiddeld | 19% | 0pt | € 993K | € 62 mln. | 11 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Kalshi74% overeenkomst · auto | Gemiddeld | 19% | 0pt | € 342,6K | € 87,7 mln. | 6 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Smarkets64% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 21% | +2pt | € 0,9 | € 0 | 3 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| MyriadDeze pagina | Laag | 48% | +29pt | € 0 | € 0 | 3 minuten geleden | |
 Limitless78% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 23% | +4pt | € 0 | € 0 | 4 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Manifold Markets78% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | — | 20% | +1pt | — | — | 30 dagen geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold Markets78% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | — | 22% | +3pt | — | — | eergisteren | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2j
-0.4%19%
-0.9%14%
-2.1%10%
+125 extra uitkomsten
73 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 1,1 mld.
24u volume€ 993K
POLYMARKETOok beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
1j
7.1%
20%
6%
+14 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling21 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2j
-0.1%21.7%
+0.6%11.7%
-0.1%6.5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling13 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Limitless
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2j
23%
13.9%
5.5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
28 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 10,7K
24u volume€ 0
LIMITLESSOok beschikbaar op Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0.1%2j
-0.1%0%
-0.1%1%
+0.1%4%
+43 extra uitkomsten
73 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 128,9 mln.
24u volume€ 342,6K
KALSHIOok beschikbaar op Smarkets
Democratic Presidential Nominee
13.5%
0.1%
2.6%
+19 extra uitkomsten
32 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 9,2K
24u volume€ 0,9
SMARKETSRegels
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
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KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
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### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.