Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJohn Healey 92%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
32
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd15 mei 26, 13:0331 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
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Regels
Combined conditional market on Burnham becoming PM and who he picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if he does.
- Please only add Labour MPs as options.
- (Use the "Other" option if you think a non-Labour MP might get the job.) I don't think there are any circumstances under which this market can resolve NA.
- If you have an edge case that I haven't covered in the small print, please let me know.
- Resolves to "Current Role Holder" on this page:
- https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/chancellor-of-the-exchequer
Open markten
AI
POLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- September 30+7.5pt100%
- September 15+11.9pt100%
- September 9+18.4pt100%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 613,3K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- October 31+4.3pt96%
- September 30-0.9pt84%
- September 2581%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- September 30-1.0pt96%
- October 31-1.4pt96%
- September 11+43.5pt91%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.1pt65.4%
- ChatGPT+2.8pt15.9%
- Grok-1.7pt9.3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 8,3 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+16.5pt76.8%
- Moonshot-9.8pt13.1%
- Z.ai-6.5pt6.1%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst John Healey op 92% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Combined conditional market on Burnham becoming PM and who he picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if he does.