PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 97%+0.6pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
25,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
2.6% / 4.1%
Spread
1.5 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
1
Variazione 7g
-1.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
12 gen 26, 16:44 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
KalshiJerome Powell federally charged by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?
PolymarketWIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?
Manifold MarketsDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsWill Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercati aperti
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 96,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,4 Mln €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt62.4%
- Fed maintains rate-10.0pt34.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 37,4 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt58.1%
- Fed maintains rate35.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.3%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 384,1K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 80,4K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
- Fed Decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Jerome Powell in jail before 2027??
- Polymarket quota No al 97% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Jerome Powell in jail before 2027??
- Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Jerome Powell in jail before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.