Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 96.6%
Previsori
50
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto12 gen 26, 02:12 UTC12 gen 27, 02:11 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
KalshiJerome Powell federally charged by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PolymarketDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsWill the next mayor of NYC be indicted while in office?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- Federal prosecutors have opened a criminal investigation of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, but this market resolves YES only if Powell is formally indicted.
- An indictment requires a grand jury to return a formal written accusation charging Powell with a crime.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records or credible reporting from major news outlets confirming a formal indictment has been filed.
- The market resolves NO if no indictment is filed by December 31, 2026.
- The Department of Justice served the Federal Reserve with grand jury subpoenas threatening a criminal indictment related to Powell's testimony before the Senate Banking Committee in June.
Mercati aperti
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume totale
- 3,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume totale
- 997K €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2K €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted??
- WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted? dovrebbe risolversi il 12 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria