KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Jan 31, 2028 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jan 31, 2028 61.5%In testa tra 9 esiti
Before Jan 31, 2028 61.5%Qualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
317,8 €
Open interest
101K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 31, 2028Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 37 minuti fa
30 apr 26, 21:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Before Oct 1, 2026Persa
Before Sep 1, 2026Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jan 31, 2028
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsMark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?
KalshiGiorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy?
KalshiNarendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?
KalshiClaudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?
KalshiWIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the Federal ReserveThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- An acknowledgment that Jerome Powell will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of his legally mandated term limit does not resolve to Yes. The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes. Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify. Forced departures satisfy the criterion even without prior announcement.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 31, 2028
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jun 1, 2027
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
