KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Jul 1, 2029 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jul 1, 2029 42.5%In testa tra 5 esiti
Before Jul 1, 2029 42.5%Qualità del mercato
33 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0,9 €
Open interest
444,6 €
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2029Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 33 minuti fa
10 ott 26, 19:45 UTC1 lug 29, 03:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jul 1, 2029
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
FutuurGiorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy?
KalshiNarendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?
KalshiSanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan?
KalshiWho will be Prime Minister of Canada after Mark Carney?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiRegole
If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Mark CarneyThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersOffice of the Prime Minister of CanadaCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. A statement that Mark Carney will not lead the Liberal Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election, for example once a new Liberal leader is chosen. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jul 1, 2029
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
