Will two Democratic and two GOP Senators cosponsor an AI bill that mentions widespread job loss from AI before 2030?
EconomiaIAOne-OffPoliticaPolitica USAMedio Oriente3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 60.1%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto7 apr 26, 04:16 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2030, a bill is introduced in the United States Senate that meets all of the following conditions:
- It is formally cosponsored by at least two Democratic Senators and at least two Republican Senators.
- The text of the bill explicitly mentions "widespread job loss" (or a grammatically equivalent phrase clearly referring to the phenomenon of broad-based unemployment) resulting from artificial intelligence.
- The market will resolve to NO if no such bill is introduced and cosponsored by January 1, 2030.
