Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 68.1%
No 68.1%Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo26 nov 25, 15:11 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that, before January 1st 2029, the US federal government enacts a stimulus package of at least $500 billion in projected net fiscal cost whose primary stated purpose is to mitigate large‑scale unemployment or worker displacement attributed to artificial intelligence or automation.
- What counts as a qualifying “stimulus package”?
- For this market:
- It must be federal legislation (an Act of Congress signed by the President or enacted over a veto) that:
- Is commonly described in official and media coverage as an “economic stimulus,” “relief,” or similar package; and
- Has a projected net fiscal cost of ≥ $500 billion over its official budget window, based on CBO, OMB, or broadly accepted estimates.
