Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2027?
Russia / UcrainaOne-OffSpazioScienzaCina1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 94.7%
No 94.7%Previsori
23
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
23 dic 23, 18:22 UTC1 gen 28, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2027, evidence of extraterrestrial life is presented, adhering to the following criteria:
- Publication in a Recognized Scientific Journal: The evidence must be detailed in a peer-reviewed publication in a high-impact scientific journal of significant academic reputation.
- Fields relevant to this evidence include astronomy, astrobiology, or related scientific disciplines.
- Journals such as 'Nature' and 'Science' are prime examples, but other journals of similar standing are also acceptable.
- Confirmation by Space Exploration Authorities: The evidence must be independently confirmed or endorsed by at least two reputable space exploration agencies or government bodies.
- These could include NASA (United States), ESA (European Space Agency), Roscosmos (Russia), CNSA (China National Space Administration), or ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation).
