KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeVladimir Putin 12%+1.0%In testa tra 37 esiti
Qualita del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
982,8 €
Liquidità
1,1 Mln €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
9.1%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
11 nov 25, 15:002 gen 27, 3:17
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Vladimir Putin12%
Confronta le piattaforme· Keir Starmer
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 100% | — | 982,8 € | 1,1 Mln € | 20 minuti fa | |
 Manifold Markets78% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 100% | — | — | — | 6 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Which World Leaders will be out in 2026?
5m
100%
+0.4%96.5%
59%
+10 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità37 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$1.5k35.0%KALSHIMiguel Díaz-Canel — Yes18 gg fa
KALSHIMiguel Díaz-Canel — Yes18 gg faTrend del volume
$1.1k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
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If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.