KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Gustavo Petro 100%In testa tra 35 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
4,5K €
Liquidità
962K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
13 dic 25, 15:00 UTC2 gen 27, 03:17 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
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PolymarketWill Republican leaders say Trump lacks authority in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:office or organization where person holds officeThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? · Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which leaders will leave office in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Gustavo Petro al 100% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which leaders will leave office in 2026??
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which leaders will leave office in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Which leaders will leave office in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets.