KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
William Ruto 18.9%+7.0ptIn testa tra 10 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
57 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
784,9 €
Liquidità
10,5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
6 feb 25, 15:001 gen 35, 15:00
Trend
Regole
If the President of Kenya is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostABCNBCMSNBCSemaforAxiosThe InformationFox NewsPoliticoBloombergAP
- An announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title.
- If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.
- If the President of South Africa is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President of Egypt is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President of Rwanda is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which of these African leaders will leave office next??
- Kalshi quota William Ruto al 19% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which of these African leaders will leave office next??
- Which of these African leaders will leave office next? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2035.
- Come viene liquidato Which of these African leaders will leave office next??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the President of Kenya is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.