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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Which World Leaders will be out in 2026?
Manifold Markets

Which World Leaders will be out in 2026?

PoliticaIA6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
Pedro Sanchez (Spain Prime Minister) 50.9%
In testa tra 13 esiti
Previsori

36

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato ieri

Obsoleto
20 feb 26, 23:0231 dic 26, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Pedro Sanchez (Spain Prime Minister)51%

Regole

To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.

Manifold Markets
  • Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
  • If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.

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US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

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Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

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Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$65,469.71+1.37%SolanaSOL$70.85+2.71%EthereumETH$1,713.34+1.66%DogecoinDOGE$0.0884+0.63%BNBBNB$613.62+0.62%AvalancheAVAX$6.71-0.10%

Notizie Correlate

Decentralized AI Networks Emerge as Counterweight to Government Control Over Frontier ModelsBlockchain ReporterAmazon warning triggered US crackdown on Anthropic AI models: ReportsCointelegraphIsrael PM odds edge toward Netanyahu as Polymarket shows hedged outlookBlockchain.NewsAnthropic shuts down Fable 5 access after US interventionCrypto NewsAnthropic's pre-IPO shares fall as US government shuts down its most powerful AI modelCoindeskAnthropic Halts Fable 5, Mythos 5 AI Models Following US OrderBlockchain.News

Regole

To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.

Manifold Markets
  • Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
  • If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.