What will happen during Trump's second term?
PoliticaOne-OffSalute e medicinaPolitica USAElezioneIAGeopolitica2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department 100%In testa tra 131 esiti
RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department 100%Previsori
145
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-0.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
8 nov 24, 03:31 UTC22 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?
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Manifold MarketsHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiRegole
Criteria for the answers I have added.
- I may interpret answers others have added and write my interpretations here as well:
- the named outcome: Will resolve yes if the named outcome happen in Trump's second term.
- None of the actions from Trump's first term would count for this market.
- the named outcome: Will resolve yes if, at any point during Trump's term, the Supreme Court has more than nine justices.
- Temporary appointments will count as a justice for the purposes of this market.
