Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2028?
Russia / UcrainaOne-OffCinaSpazioScienza2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.3%
Previsori
40
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto23 dic 23, 18:26 UTC1 gen 29, 22:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2028, evidence of extraterrestrial life is presented, meeting the following criteria:
- Publication in a Recognized Scientific Journal: The evidence must be detailed in at least one peer-reviewed publication in a high-impact scientific journal with significant academic reputation.
- Relevant fields include astronomy, astrobiology, or related scientific disciplines.
- Journals like 'Nature' and 'Science' are ideal examples, but other journals of similar standing are also acceptable.
- Confirmation by Space Exploration Authorities: The evidence must be independently confirmed or endorsed by at least two reputable space exploration agencies or governmental bodies.
- Agencies that could fulfill this role include, but are not limited to, NASA (United States), ESA (European Space Agency), Roscosmos (Russia), CNSA (China National Space Administration), or ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation).
