Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2031?
Russia / UcrainaOne-OffSpazioScienzaCina5aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85.2%
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14
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto23 dic 23, 18:36 UTC1 gen 32, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2031, evidence of extraterrestrial life is presented, fulfilling these criteria:
- Publication in a Recognized Scientific Journal: The evidence must be detailed in a peer-reviewed article in a high-impact scientific journal of significant academic standing.
- Fields pertinent to this evidence include astronomy and astrobiology, among others.
- Journals like 'Nature' and 'Science' are exemplary, but other journals of comparable status are also acceptable.
- Confirmation by Space Exploration Authorities: The evidence must be independently confirmed or endorsed by at least two reputable space exploration agencies or governmental bodies.
- These may include agencies such as NASA (United States), ESA (European Space Agency), Roscosmos (Russia), CNSA (China National Space Administration), or ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation).
