Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2029?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffScienzaSpaceChina3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 85%
Previsori
31
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto23 dic 23, 18:27 UTC1 gen 30, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
“Will we discover definitive evidence of extraterrestrial life by the end of 2030
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2026?
Manifold MarketsEvidence of life out of Earth by the end of 2026?
FutuurNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2029, evidence of extraterrestrial life is presented, adhering to the following criteria:
- Publication in a Recognized Scientific Journal: The evidence must be documented in at least one peer-reviewed article in a high-impact scientific journal of notable academic reputation.
- Relevant fields include astronomy, astrobiology, or similar scientific disciplines.
- Journals such as 'Nature' and 'Science' are prime examples, but other journals of similar standing are also acceptable.
- Confirmation by Space Exploration Authorities: The evidence must be independently confirmed or endorsed by at least two reputable space exploration agencies or government bodies.
- These may include, but are not limited to, NASA (United States), ESA (European Space Agency), Roscosmos (Russia), CNSA (China National Space Administration), or ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation).