Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineChinaEurope1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 81.7%
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto29 mar 25, 09:48 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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For the purposes of this question, a serious war is defined as causing at least 1,000 combat-related deaths, as listed here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ongoing_armed_conflicts.
- For the conflict to qualify, it needs to involve at least two of the major military powers listed in the title, in opposing camps.
- [link preview]"Europe" is either the European Union, or one of the major European militaries (UK, France, Germany).
- An internal European conflict such as UK-France would also count.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028??
- Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: For the purposes of this question, a serious war is defined as causing at least 1,000 combat-related deaths, as listed here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ongoing_armed_conflicts.