Will there be a US-China war if Trump gets elected in 2024?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAGeopoliticaCinaElezione1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto15 lug 24, 20:26 UTC20 gen 28, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketUS x China Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
- This market will resolve as N/A if Donald J. Trump does not win the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, or if he does not assume the office of President on January 20, 2025.
- - An armed conflict is defined as sustained military engagements involving direct combat between the armed forces of the United States and the People's Republic of China.
- - This market will resolve as YES if an armed conflict occurs between the United States and the People's Republic of China during Trump's presidency.
- - If there is no armed conflict between the United States and the People's Republic of China by the end of Trump's presidency, this market will resolve as NO.
- - The market will resolve on January 21, 2029.
- This allows for the possibility of Trump serving a full four-year term from January 20, 2025, to January 20, 2029.
