Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2029 21.3%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto29 ott 23, 00:33 UTC5 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)
Manifold MarketsWill there be a US-China war if Trump gets elected in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill the US or China impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold before 2030
Manifold MarketsTesla SAE level 3 car is available in the US before China
Manifold MarketsUS x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PolymarketUS x China Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Each year resolves:
- YES if the USA and China were at war at any point in that year.
- NO at the end of that year otherwise.
- I won't bet.