Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2026 99%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto28 ott 23, 16:53 UTC1 gen 31, 07:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden live to see the end of the US-Iran war?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
Each of these options resolves either: at the end of the year as NO, or YES if the US is at war with Iran at any point during the year.
- I won't bet.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 55,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8K €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)?
- Manifold Markets quota 2026 al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)?
- When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent) dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Each of these options resolves either: at the end of the year as NO, or YES if the US is at war with Iran at any point during the year.