Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 97.5%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
8 ago 26, 07:13 UTC1 gen 28, 05:00 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a verified AI-assisted solution to one of the Millennium Prize problems by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Codename: MILLPROB
- Resolves YES if a complete claimed solution or disproof of one of the six unsolved Millennium Prize Problems is made public before January 1, 2028 and verified by June 30, 2028.
- Verification requires either a complete, independently reproduced machine-checkable proof, or clear acceptance by multiple recognized specialists with no credible unresolved objection after at least 90 days.
- Clay Mathematics Institute recognition is sufficient but not required.
- A counterexample counts only if it resolves the official problem as stated.
- Keep an eye on mnx.fi 👀
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 211K €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5K €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 104,9K €
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Millennium: Prize Problem solution published before 2028 and verified??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 98% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Millennium: Prize Problem solution published before 2028 and verified??
- Millennium: Prize Problem solution published before 2028 and verified? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Millennium: Prize Problem solution published before 2028 and verified??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Codename: MILLPROB