KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 75%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
8,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
19.0% / 24.5%
Spread
5.5 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
27 giu 25, 20:45 UTC1 gen 50, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWill the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiNatural Disaster in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:ReutersThe Washington PostSemaforThe InformationThe Wall Street JournalBBC NewsCNNNBC NewsCBS NewsABC NewsFox NewsMSNBCScientific AmericanNatureScience MagazineSpace NewsSpaceflightNowNASAthe European Space AgencySpaceXthe China National Space AdministrationRoscosmosthe Indian Space Research Organisationthe Japan Aerospace Exploration AgencyBlue OriginVirgin Galacticthe Mars Societythe Planetary SocietyThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg News
Mercati aperti
SpaceKALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 7+4.0pt93%
- Above 8+26.0pt70%
- Above 97%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 348,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 60,5K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.3pt98%
- Google-0.5pt1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+18 altri esiti
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes51%
- No49%
- Volume totale
- 254,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 29,8K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic88.1%
- Google-0.3pt7.9%
- Meta-0.1pt2%
+18 altri esiti
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 31-0.1pt96%
- Super Heavy booster explodes?-1.0pt89%
- Successful splash down?+15.5pt83%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+4.0pt72%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-5.0pt41%
- Before May 1, 2027-13.0pt37%
+8 altri esiti
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?
- Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will humans colonize Mars before 2050??
- Kalshi quota No al 75% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will humans colonize Mars before 2050??
- Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Will humans colonize Mars before 2050??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.