Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 50.6%
Previsori
473
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
23 mar 24, 19:19 UTC2 gen 45, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich Country will be First to Successfully land a human that walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill Elon Musk go to space by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Open until either event happens
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-walk-on-mars
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-walk-on-the-moo
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-orbit-or-walk-o
- Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Resolution Criteria:
