Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 50.6%
Previsori
473
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto23 mar 24, 19:19 UTC2 gen 45, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill Sesame Street end before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill a dog walk on the moon before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiNASA confirms aliens before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Open until either event happens
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-walk-on-mars
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-walk-on-the-moo
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-orbit-or-walk-o
- Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Resolution Criteria:
