Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 56.6%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo28 gen 24, 20:24 UTC7 gen 00, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich organisation will be first to successfully land a human that walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before a human walks on the Moon again?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
Manifold MarketsNew pandemic before 2028?
PolymarketMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1) before a human ventures out onto the Martian surface.
- Numeric markets:
- @/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors
- Fusion reactor questions:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
