Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Mars 74.1%In testa tra 8 esiti
Mars 74.1%Previsori
33
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto23 apr 23, 17:36 UTC2 gen 03, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
KalshiWill a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
Manifold MarketsIs there a Black Hole in our Solar System?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover a black hole in our solar system before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2040, will there be strong evidence of life (of non-terrestrial origin) in our solar system?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketRegole
Can be planets, moons, novel space stations at Langrage points
- Resolves to:
- First non-earth location that has humans living on it for 1+ years with an intention of living there long-term