Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.8%
Previsori
44
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto11 mag 23, 19:56 UTC20 dic 97, 05:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we discover a black hole in our solar system before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhere will humans first colonize in our solar system?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2040, will there be strong evidence of life (of non-terrestrial origin) in our solar system?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
See this Sixty Symbols video.
- This market closes when scientific consensus has reached near certainty on this issue, either by finding a black hole, or by exploring the solar system enough that it's considered essentially impossible.
- Close date on this market will be extended indefinitely.
- Note that potential man-made black holes, such as those some have proposed could occur in particle colliders, do not count.
- This question refers to black holes as might be found by astronomers.
