Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 10:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 97.6%
Previsori
52
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto1 giu 26, 13:01 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes)
Manifold MarketsWill every Millennium Prize problem be solved before 2028
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2028, the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) officially announces that one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, or officially awards the Millennium Prize for its solution.
- The remaining six eligible problems are:
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture
- Hodge conjecture
- Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness
