Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 21:52 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 98%
Previsori
34
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto12 mag 25, 15:43 UTC31 dic 31, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2031, at least one of the six unsolved Millennium Prize Problems is solved primarily by an artificial intelligence (AI) system.
- The AI must be credited as the principal solver, not merely as a tool assisting human mathematicians.
- The solution must be published in a reputable, peer-reviewed mathematical journal and receive general acceptance in the global mathematics community.
- Official recognition by the Clay Mathematics Institute is not required for resolution.
- If no such AI-driven solution is achieved by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."