Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 85%
Previsori
102
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
1 gen 26, 01:35 UTC2 gen 27, 02:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
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KalshiRegole
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if at least one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems is solved in 2026.
- A problem is considered solved if:
- A complete proof is published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal of worldwide repute, OR
- There is consensus among leading experts in the relevant field that the problem has been solved
- The proof must be published in a refereed mathematics publication of worldwide repute and achieve general acceptance in the mathematics community.
Mercati aperti
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 57,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 86,7K €
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+38.1pt70%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 153,9K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-0.3pt5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1+5.0pt75.5%
- 2-0.5pt21.6%
- 32%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-3.6pt77%
- No23%
- Volume totale
- 286,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,5K €
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- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 85% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026??
- Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria