Probabilità implicita attuale
At least 440 89%+1.0%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0,3 €
Liquidità
39,4 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
80.0% / 89.0%
Spread
11.3%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
2 lug 25, 14:001 gen 30, 4:59
Trend
Esito scelto
At least 44089%
Mercati Correlati
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
3,7K €2: 63%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026
848,9 €432 or less: 0.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Natural Disaster in 2026?
37,4 €Sì: 25%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will El Niño conditions be declared present?
1,2 €Before Jul 1, 2026: 70%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
0,1 €Sì: 77%KALSHI
KALSHI
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
0 €Sì: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 440 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 445 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 450 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 455 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 460 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.